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Virtual gold? Bitcoin’s rise sparks new debate amid pandemic
Bitcoin’s rally above $15,000 has reignited debate over whether the cryptocurrency is so-called digital gold or a perilously risky bet as investors grapple with the coronavirus pandemic.
The world’s most popular virtual unit has gained over 30 percent in value in almost three weeks up to Friday, taking it close to its December 2017 peak when it reached nearly $20,000.
After a rollercoaster ride on markets since then, it began its latest meteoric rise on October 21, after US online payments provider PayPal announced that it would enable account holders to use cryptocurrency.
“It is the validation of a market which was still relatively uncertain a few years ago,” said Simon Polrot, president of Paris-based crypto-assets association ADAN.
Bitcoin was created in 2008 by the pseudonymous Satoshi Nakamoto, and marketed as an alternative to traditional currencies.
Unregulated by any central bank, it was sold as an attractive option for investors with an appetite for the exotic — although criminals have also seen its under-the-radar appeal.
However, after bitcoin surpassed $1,000 for the first time in 2013, it has increasingly attracted the attention of financial institutions.
The more recent arrival of big players in the virtual market, such as PayPal and Mastercard, are “very important signals” solidifying that trend, according to Polrot.
– Millennial appeal
PayPal said it would allow users to buy and sell using bitcoin as well as other cryptocurrencies such as Ethereum and Litecoin.
“The migration toward digital payments and digital representations of value continues to accelerate, driven by the Covid-19 pandemic and the increased interest in digital currencies from central banks and consumers,” the company said.
The US Federal Reserve and European Central Bank are holding consultations on the possible launch of their own virtual currencies, while China’s central bank started experimenting with digital payments in four cities in April.
Investment banking giant JPMorgan Chase has joined industry players in the increasing optimism around bitcoin.
After PayPal’s announcement, analysts at the bank compared the cryptocurrency to gold.
“Bitcoin could compete more intensely with gold as an ‘alternative’ currency over the coming years given that millennials will become over time a more important component of investors’ universe,” they said.
They noted that the total capitalisation of the cryptocurrency market is 10 times lower than gold, with some speculating it could steadily close that gulf.
That viewpoint represents a significant shift given JPMorgan chief Jamie Dimon described bitcoin as a “fraud” two years ago.
– ‘Catastrophe’ –
On Thursday, its price leapt nearly nine percent and gold rallied 2.45 percent, as the US election impacted the market. The rises sparked fresh comparisons of the two assets.
“Crypto could constitute a form of safe haven in a context where confidence in fiat money is a little undermined,” said Polrot.
As with gold, bitcoin could benefit as central banks gush out trillions in stimulus support to counter the devastating effects of the Covid-19 pandemic, potentially diluting the value of their currencies.
Both gold and bitcoin are “mined” — virtually, by computer users, in the cryptocurrency’s case — and have a finite supply, in contrast to hard cash printed in unlimited amounts by central banks.
Charles Morris, whose company ByteTree specialises in cryptocurrencies, argues bitcoin is “very much a growth asset, behaving like a tech stock”.
He noted that like gold, some people in Iran, Venezuela and Turkey have in recent years used cryptocurrency to shield their savings from runaway inflation.
However, others point to the highly volatile and speculative nature of cryptocurrencies.
“There is no room for bitcoin in a serious forex portfolio,” said a London trader who asked to remain anonymous, noting the unit had lost a quarter of its value in March alone before resuming its rally more recently.
“That would be a catastrophe for a forex trader — we use gold to balance our portfolio.”
Author: Joseph SOTINEL
4 on-chain metrics suggest Bitcoin price rally may not stop at $16,000
Bitcoin price is defending the $15,000 support and on-chain data signal that the rally may continue beyond $16,000.
After rejecting at $15,960 on Nov.6 Bitcoin (BTC) price has been defending the $15,000 support level with strength. Based on four on-chain data points, analysts believe the rally might continue beyond $16,000.
Analysts have pinpointed lower Bitcoin exchange reserves, unmoved supply, a rise in “stronger hands,” and unrealized profits as factors for the rally to continue.
Recently, Delphi Digital, an independent cryptocurrency research and consulting firm, released a report on the outlook of the Bitcoin market.
Paul Burlage, an analyst at Delphi, said that on-chain metrics generally portray strong momentum for Bitcoin.
Since Feb. 11, Bitcoin exchange reserves dropped from 2.96 million to 2.41 million. In dollar terms, a drop of 550,000 BTC is equivalent to $6.36 billion.
Falling Bitcoin exchange reserves is an optimistic occurance because it means fewer sellers are depositing BTC to exchanges. Burlage said:
“On Feb 11th, 2020, $BTC on exchanges hit its all-time high of ~2.96M. As of writing, $BTC on exchanges sits at ~2.41 M. This current trend has seen a divergence between BTC stock and price, which suggests a more sustainable move upwards for $BTC.”
While fewer sellers have been moving their funds to exchanges, the unmoved supply of BTC remains high.
On Sept. 9, Burlage explained that the percentage of unmoved supply for BTC hit an all-time high at 63.5%. Since then, it has declined slightly to 62%, but considering that price has risen substantially, it is a positive metric. He explained:
“We have seen a slight dip in the % of unmoved supply in the past year over the past week. After reaching an all-time high of around 63.5% unmoved supply on September 9th, we currently sit at around 62.0%.”
This shows investors are increasing “HODLing” BTC despite the recent rally, not taking large profits just yet.
The number of “weak hands” or speculative buyers have noticeably declined in recent weeks, while stronger hands strengthened.
The flush out of short-term buyers and the entrance of long-term “HODLers” indicate that Bitcoin could see a prolonged rally.
This trend coincides with the resilience of Bitcoin above $15,000 and shows that the once heavy resistance level is close to evolving into a support area. Burlage noted:
“While local maximums for ‘weak hands’ trends downwards, we can not confirm that the recent speculative base increase has formed a top. With that said, the larger trend suggests stronger hands are populating short-term age bands rather than speculators.”
In July 2019, the price of Bitcoin peaked at around $14,000. At the time, Glassnode chief technical officer Rafael Schultze-Kraft said Bitcoin’s Relative Unrealized Profit hit 0.64.
Currently, despite the price of Bitcoin being above $15,000, the Relative Unrealized Profit is at 0.53. This shows BTC has the potential to see a broader rally before a strong pullback.
The post 4 on-chain metrics suggest Bitcoin price rally may not stop at $16,000 appeared first on BTC Ethereum Crypto Currency Blog.
Author: By TeamMMG
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Screenshot of Signal Android version 4.52 (December 2019)
Signal Android icon, 2015–2017
Signal icon, 2015–2020
One of the most widely respected encrypted communication apps, Signal, from Open Whisper Systems, has received significant financial support from the U.S. government, has been audited by independent security experts, and is now widely used by computer security professionals, many of the top national security journalists, and public interest advocates. Indeed, members of the ACLU’s own legal department regularly use Signal to make encrypted telephone calls.
Countries where Signal’s domain fronting is enabled by default
Countries where Signal is blocked (January 2018)